There is some debate in climate change circles as to whether there is too much pessimism on the subject and whether this is or is not helpful. My dark riff:

I am always reminded of the Hungarian Jews. They had survived the Holocaust because Hungary had not joined in that project. They must have thought they had survived….

“But then a German occupation of Hungary happened and: “From May 15 to July 9, 1944, Hungarian gendarmerie officials, under the guidance of German SS officials, deported around 440,000 Jews from Hungary. Most were deported to Auschwitz-Birkenau, where, upon arrival and after selection, SS functionaries killed the majority of them in gas chambers.”

The so-far-we-have-no-calamity mentality is a problem for humanity.

That said, I would prefer to handle an uncertain future with scenario based futuring as developed by Peter Schwartz in the Art of the Long View: you set up say four…